Survey of India states + LGD/Bharatmaps districts (DataMeet / ramSeraph mirror)fetched 9 Nov, 08:47 IST · fetch 44144
Why the rule calls it a burn
Rule s2burn-rules-2
Pixels in the scar
227
Near-infrared darkened (dB8A)
0.176
Short-wave infrared 1 darkened (dB11)
0.161
Short-wave infrared 2 darkened (dB12)
0.071
Burned-area index after (BAIS2)
0.98
Brightness after
0.26
Greenness before, after (NDVI)
0.24, 0.12
Burn ratio change (dNBR), NBR after
0.28, −0.24
The detection rule
Sentinel-2 L2A, cropland only: NIR and SWIR darkened since the previous clear pass (dB8A>0.07, dB11>0.07, dB12>0.03) and the field now looks charred (BAIS2>=0.78, brightness<=0.34); passes at most 6 days apart; clusters of at least 0.52 ha whose mean post-burn NBR is below 0.0 (drops flooded fields and cloud shadows). Candidates: tillage can look similar.
When a burn counts as unseen
unseen = no FIRMS detection within max(1 km, pixel half-diagonal + 200 m) of the scar between the clear pass before it and 3 h after the pass that shows it
Known look-alikes: cloud and smoke-plume shadows in partly cloudy passes and flooded fields with mean post NBR just below 0 still pass, often with high confidence; tillage of wet soil can mimic char; a hazy pre pass can exaggerate the darkening.
Aqua MODIS3.0 km
Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 IST · 20.2 MW · nominal confidence
Outside the burn window
Aqua MODIS3.5 km
Fri 6 Nov, 16:21 IST · 80.0 MW · high confidence
Beyond the match radius
Aqua MODIS3.9 km
Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 IST · 23.2 MW · nominal confidence
Outside the burn window
Aqua MODIS3.9 km
Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 IST · 41.6 MW · high confidence
Outside the burn window
Aqua MODIS4.2 km
Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 IST · 14.7 MW · nominal confidence
Outside the burn window
Aqua MODIS4.6 km
Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 IST · 8.7 MW · nominal confidence
Outside the burn window
An alert explains a scar when it falls within 1.0 km of it, inside the burn window.
Weather between the passes
Open-Meteo best-match model, 30 of 30 hours
Afternoon wind, mean9 km/h
Afternoon mixing height, mean693 m
Rain in the window0.0 mm
Wind at 10 m, km/hMixing height, m
Arrows point where the wind blew. A low mixing height keeps smoke near the ground.
Sentinel-2 scenesS2C_T43RDP_20261102T053957_L2A and S2B_T43RDP_20261107T054750_L2A
Candidate unseen burns as a whole: audit precision 87% (95% CI 68%–96%, n = 23), checked by eye.
How often this rule is right: when people checked a random sample of candidate unseen burns by eye, the audit precision was 87% (95% CI 68%–96%, n = 23).
