Panipat Haryana

725 candidate unseen burns covering 897 ha in 177 villages, in the 30 days of passes up to 12 Nov 2026. None of its 2,150 harvested fields ranks in the top tenth for the next burn.

Candidate unseen burns are not confirmed fires: their audit precision 87% (95% CI 68–⁠96%, n = 23), so every count and area of them here is an upper bound.

The top tenth comes from a burn-risk ranking that is modest in its backtest (AUC 0.640, 95% CI 0.595–⁠0.693; 0.5 is chance): a rank says where to look first, not the chance that a field will burn.

Sentinel-2 passes 14 Oct – 12 Nov 2026

Candidate unseen burns725upper bound

Their area897 haupper bound

Villages with them177newest pass 11 Nov

Harvested fields2,150straw still lying, 3,462 ha

In the top tenth0 fieldsin 0 villages

Villages with candidate unseen burns

Largest candidate unseen area first. A village’s map link and case file open its largest burn.

Villages as CSVEnglish हिन्दी ਪੰਜਾਬੀ

Villages of Panipat with candidate unseen burns, the 30 days of passes up to 12 Nov 2026
Position	Village	Sub-district	Burns	Hectares	Newest pass	Location	Largest burn
1	Balana	Israna	26 burns	33.0 ha	newest pass 11 Nov	Map: Balana in Google Maps, opens a new tab29.27603, 76.88460	Case 2102325
2	Ferozepur	Samalkha

Watchlist: harvested fields by burn-risk rank (none in the top tenth)

Harvested fields whose straw was still lying on the latest clear pass, grouped by village and ordered by the burn-risk run of 13 Nov, 17:23 IST.

Modest ranking

In this season's backtest, fields in the top tenth of their pass burnt by the next clear pass 1.61 times as often as the average field (95% CI 1.28-2.04): 20.1% against 12.5%. The backtest could order past fields only by burning nearby and last season's fires: the time since harvest and the rain cannot be reconstructed for past passes. Checked over all 387 pass pairs, the ranking is modest (AUC 0.640, 95% CI 0.595-0.693; 0.5 is chance). A rank says where to look first; it is not the chance that a field will burn.

Watchlist of Panipat: villages with harvested fields, ordered by the burn-risk ranking
Position	Village	Sub-district	Harvested fields	Hectares	Fields in the top tenth	Best rankof 2,61,123	Location
No field in Panipat is in the top tenth: these villages are listed by their best-ranked field only, not high risk
1	Rair Kalan	Panipat	65 fields	137.9 ha	0not in the top tenth	best rank 53,110	Map

How to read this brief

Candidate unseen burns are Sentinel-2 burn scars that no NASA FIRMS fire detection explains. They are candidates, not confirmed fires: in a hand audit of 23 of them, 87% were real burns (95% CI 68%-96%), so every count and area of them here is an upper bound.
The window is the 30 days of Sentinel-2 passes up to the newest one in the data (2026-11-12), not up to today: Sentinel-2 sees a field only every few days, and its passes are processed once a day.
Each village's point is its largest candidate unseen burn, so its map link leads to the burnt field itself. Village names are the nearest census village within 3 km of a scar; scars with no village that close are listed by sub-district, without a name.
The watchlist orders harvested fields whose straw was still lying on the latest clear pass by the burn-risk run of 2026-11-13 17:23 IST: villages with fields in the run's top tenth first, then the others by their best-ranked field, so a district with no field in the top tenth still gets a list. In this season's backtest, fields in the top tenth of their pass burnt by the next clear pass 1.61 times as often as the average field (95% CI 1.28-2.04): 20.1% against 12.5%. The backtest could order past fields only by burning nearby and last season's fires: the time since harvest and the rain cannot be reconstructed for past passes. Checked over all 387 pass pairs, the ranking is modest (AUC 0.640, 95% CI 0.595-0.693; 0.5 is chance). A rank says where to look first; it is not the chance that a field will burn.
These lists say where to look, not who burnt: a satellite flag needs a visit on the ground before any action, and the brief names villages only, never people.

Open on the live map Ask the investigator

Sources and freshness

Brief built: 13 Nov 2026, 20:51 IST
Newest Sentinel-2 pass: 12 Nov 2026, 11:21 IST
Burn-risk run: 13 Nov 2026, 17:23 IST, risk-v3, 2,61,123 fields ranked

Element 84 Earth Search STACfetched 13 Nov, 19:29 IST · fetch 63541earth-search.aws.element84.com/v1/collections/sentinel-2-c1-l2a…
Sentinel-2 L2A pixels (Earth Search COGs on AWS)fetched 13 Nov, 17:22 IST · fetch 62842earth-search.aws.element84.com/v1/collections/sentinel-2-c1-l2a…
ESA WorldCoverfetched 13 Nov, 17:22 IST · fetch 62841planetarycomputer.microsoft.com/api/stac/v1/search
NASA FIRMS active fires (VIIRS 375 m, MODIS 1 km; NRT)fetched 13 Nov, 20:47 IST · fetch 63737blindspot-relay.vercel.app/api/firms
Survey of India states + LGD/Bharatmaps districts (DataMeet / ramSeraph mirror)fetched 9 Nov, 08:47 IST · fetch 44144github.com/ramSeraph/indian_admin_boundaries/releases/download/…

Printed from the BlindSpot field brief for Panipat, built 13 Nov 2026, 20:51 IST. Every village of the window, with its map link, is in the CSV: https://blindspot-api-azure.vercel.app/api/brief/Panipat/csv?days=30&lang=en

Panipat Haryana

725 candidate unseen burns covering 897 ha in 177 villages, in the 30 days of passes up to 12 Nov 2026. None of its 2,150 harvested fields ranks in the top tenth for the next burn.

Candidate unseen burns are not confirmed fires: their audit precision 87% (95% CI 68–⁠96%, n = 23), so every count and area of them here is an upper bound.

Villages of Panipat with candidate unseen burns, the 30 days of passes up to 12 Nov 2026
Position	Village	Sub-district	Burns	Hectares		Newest pass	Location	Largest burn
1	Balana	Israna	26 burns	33.0 ha		newest pass 11 Nov	Map: Balana in Google Maps, opens a new tab29.27603, 76.88460	Case 2102325
2	Ferozepur	Samalkha

Village

Sub-district

Burns

Hectares

Newest pass

Location

Largest burn

Balana

Israna

26 burns

33.0 ha

newest pass 11 Nov

Map29.27603, 76.88460

Case 2102325

Ferozepur

Samalkha

Watchlist of Panipat: villages with harvested fields, ordered by the burn-risk ranking
Position	Village	Sub-district	Harvested fields	Hectares	Fields in the top tenth	Best rankof 2,61,123	Location
No field in Panipat is in the top tenth: these villages are listed by their best-ranked field only, not high risk
1	Rair Kalan	Panipat	65 fields	137.9 ha	0not in the top tenth	best rank 53,110	Map

Village

Sub-district

Harvested fields

Hectares

Fields in the top tenth

Best rankof 2,61,123

Location

No field in Panipat is in the top tenth: these villages are listed by their best-ranked field only, not high risk

Rair Kalan

Panipat

65 fields

137.9 ha

0not in the top tenth

best rank 53,110

Map

How to read this brief

Candidate unseen burns are Sentinel-2 burn scars that no NASA FIRMS fire detection explains. They are candidates, not confirmed fires: in a hand audit of 23 of them, 87% were real burns (95% CI 68%-96%), so every count and area of them here is an upper bound.

The window is the 30 days of Sentinel-2 passes up to the newest one in the data (2026-11-12), not up to today: Sentinel-2 sees a field only every few days, and its passes are processed once a day.

Each village's point is its largest candidate unseen burn, so its map link leads to the burnt field itself. Village names are the nearest census village within 3 km of a scar; scars with no village that close are listed by sub-district, without a name.

The watchlist orders harvested fields whose straw was still lying on the latest clear pass by the burn-risk run of 2026-11-13 17:23 IST: villages with fields in the run's top tenth first, then the others by their best-ranked field, so a district with no field in the top tenth still gets a list. In this season's backtest, fields in the top tenth of their pass burnt by the next clear pass 1.61 times as often as the average field (95% CI 1.28-2.04): 20.1% against 12.5%. The backtest could order past fields only by burning nearby and last season's fires: the time since harvest and the rain cannot be reconstructed for past passes. Checked over all 387 pass pairs, the ranking is modest (AUC 0.640, 95% CI 0.595-0.693; 0.5 is chance). A rank says where to look first; it is not the chance that a field will burn.

These lists say where to look, not who burnt: a satellite flag needs a visit on the ground before any action, and the brief names villages only, never people.