Pathankot Punjab

420 candidate unseen burns covering 562 ha in 185 villages, in the 7 days of passes up to 12 Nov 2026. None of its 304 harvested fields ranks in the top tenth for the next burn.

Candidate unseen burns are not confirmed fires: their audit precision 87% (95% CI 68–⁠96%, n = 23), so every count and area of them here is an upper bound.

The top tenth comes from a burn-risk ranking that is modest in its backtest (AUC 0.640, 95% CI 0.595–⁠0.693; 0.5 is chance): a rank says where to look first, not the chance that a field will burn.

Sentinel-2 passes 6–12 Nov 2026

Candidate unseen burns420upper bound

Their area562 haupper bound

Villages with them185newest pass 7 Nov

Harvested fields304straw still lying, 316 ha

In the top tenth0 fieldsin 0 villages

Villages with candidate unseen burns

Largest candidate unseen area first. A village’s map link and case file open its largest burn.

Villages as CSVEnglish हिन्दी ਪੰਜਾਬੀ

Villages of Pathankot with candidate unseen burns, the 7 days of passes up to 12 Nov 2026
Position	Village	Sub-district	Burns	Hectares	Newest pass	Location	Largest burn
1	Balotar	Pathankot	11 burns	18.6 ha	newest pass 7 Nov	Map: Balotar in Google Maps, opens a new tab32.32755, 75.37230	Case 2072515
2	Mahi-Ul-Dinpur	Pathankot

Watchlist: harvested fields by burn-risk rank (none in the top tenth)

Harvested fields whose straw was still lying on the latest clear pass, grouped by village and ordered by the burn-risk run of 14 Nov, 17:23 IST.

Modest ranking

In this season's backtest, fields in the top tenth of their pass burnt by the next clear pass 1.61 times as often as the average field (95% CI 1.28-2.04): 20.1% against 12.5%. The backtest could order past fields only by burning nearby and last season's fires: the time since harvest and the rain cannot be reconstructed for past passes. Checked over all 387 pass pairs, the ranking is modest (AUC 0.640, 95% CI 0.595-0.693; 0.5 is chance). A rank says where to look first; it is not the chance that a field will burn.

Watchlist of Pathankot: villages with harvested fields, ordered by the burn-risk ranking
Position	Village	Sub-district	Harvested fields	Hectares	Fields in the top tenth	Best rankof 2,61,123	Location
No field in Pathankot is in the top tenth: these villages are listed by their best-ranked field only, not high risk
1	Jaitpur	Pathankot	4 fields	4.3 ha	0not in the top tenth	best rank 98,400	Map

How to read this brief

Candidate unseen burns are Sentinel-2 burn scars that no NASA FIRMS fire detection explains. They are candidates, not confirmed fires: in a hand audit of 23 of them, 87% were real burns (95% CI 68%-96%), so every count and area of them here is an upper bound.
The window is the 7 days of Sentinel-2 passes up to the newest one in the data (2026-11-12), not up to today: Sentinel-2 sees a field only every few days, and its passes are processed once a day.
Each village's point is its largest candidate unseen burn, so its map link leads to the burnt field itself. Village names are the nearest census village within 3 km of a scar; scars with no village that close are listed by sub-district, without a name.
The watchlist orders harvested fields whose straw was still lying on the latest clear pass by the burn-risk run of 2026-11-14 17:23 IST: villages with fields in the run's top tenth first, then the others by their best-ranked field, so a district with no field in the top tenth still gets a list. In this season's backtest, fields in the top tenth of their pass burnt by the next clear pass 1.61 times as often as the average field (95% CI 1.28-2.04): 20.1% against 12.5%. The backtest could order past fields only by burning nearby and last season's fires: the time since harvest and the rain cannot be reconstructed for past passes. Checked over all 387 pass pairs, the ranking is modest (AUC 0.640, 95% CI 0.595-0.693; 0.5 is chance). A rank says where to look first; it is not the chance that a field will burn.
These lists say where to look, not who burnt: a satellite flag needs a visit on the ground before any action, and the brief names villages only, never people.

Open on the live map Ask the investigator

Sources and freshness

Brief built: 14 Nov 2026, 20:42 IST
Newest Sentinel-2 pass: 12 Nov 2026, 11:21 IST
Burn-risk run: 14 Nov 2026, 17:23 IST, risk-v3, 2,61,123 fields ranked

Element 84 Earth Search STACfetched 14 Nov, 18:22 IST · fetch 67365earth-search.aws.element84.com/v1/search
Sentinel-2 L2A pixels (Earth Search COGs on AWS)fetched 14 Nov, 17:22 IST · fetch 67107earth-search.aws.element84.com/v1/collections/sentinel-2-c1-l2a…
ESA WorldCoverfetched 14 Nov, 17:22 IST · fetch 67106planetarycomputer.microsoft.com/api/stac/v1/search
NASA FIRMS active fires (VIIRS 375 m, MODIS 1 km; NRT)fetched 14 Nov, 19:47 IST · fetch 67624blindspot-relay.vercel.app/api/firms
Survey of India states + LGD/Bharatmaps districts (DataMeet / ramSeraph mirror)fetched 9 Nov, 08:47 IST · fetch 44144github.com/ramSeraph/indian_admin_boundaries/releases/download/…

Printed from the BlindSpot field brief for Pathankot, built 14 Nov 2026, 20:42 IST. Every village of the window, with its map link, is in the CSV: https://blindspot-api-azure.vercel.app/api/brief/Pathankot/csv?days=7&lang=en

Pathankot Punjab

420 candidate unseen burns covering 562 ha in 185 villages, in the 7 days of passes up to 12 Nov 2026. None of its 304 harvested fields ranks in the top tenth for the next burn.

Candidate unseen burns are not confirmed fires: their audit precision 87% (95% CI 68–⁠96%, n = 23), so every count and area of them here is an upper bound.

Villages of Pathankot with candidate unseen burns, the 7 days of passes up to 12 Nov 2026
Position	Village	Sub-district	Burns	Hectares		Newest pass	Location	Largest burn
1	Balotar	Pathankot	11 burns	18.6 ha		newest pass 7 Nov	Map: Balotar in Google Maps, opens a new tab32.32755, 75.37230	Case 2072515
2	Mahi-Ul-Dinpur	Pathankot

Village

Sub-district

Burns

Hectares

Newest pass

Location

Largest burn

Balotar

Pathankot

11 burns

18.6 ha

newest pass 7 Nov

Map32.32755, 75.37230

Case 2072515

Mahi-Ul-Dinpur

Pathankot

Watchlist of Pathankot: villages with harvested fields, ordered by the burn-risk ranking
Position	Village	Sub-district	Harvested fields	Hectares	Fields in the top tenth	Best rankof 2,61,123	Location
No field in Pathankot is in the top tenth: these villages are listed by their best-ranked field only, not high risk
1	Jaitpur	Pathankot	4 fields	4.3 ha	0not in the top tenth	best rank 98,400	Map

Village

Sub-district

Harvested fields

Hectares

Fields in the top tenth

Best rankof 2,61,123

Location

No field in Pathankot is in the top tenth: these villages are listed by their best-ranked field only, not high risk

Jaitpur

Pathankot

4 fields

4.3 ha

0not in the top tenth

best rank 98,400

Map

How to read this brief

Candidate unseen burns are Sentinel-2 burn scars that no NASA FIRMS fire detection explains. They are candidates, not confirmed fires: in a hand audit of 23 of them, 87% were real burns (95% CI 68%-96%), so every count and area of them here is an upper bound.

The window is the 7 days of Sentinel-2 passes up to the newest one in the data (2026-11-12), not up to today: Sentinel-2 sees a field only every few days, and its passes are processed once a day.

Each village's point is its largest candidate unseen burn, so its map link leads to the burnt field itself. Village names are the nearest census village within 3 km of a scar; scars with no village that close are listed by sub-district, without a name.

The watchlist orders harvested fields whose straw was still lying on the latest clear pass by the burn-risk run of 2026-11-14 17:23 IST: villages with fields in the run's top tenth first, then the others by their best-ranked field, so a district with no field in the top tenth still gets a list. In this season's backtest, fields in the top tenth of their pass burnt by the next clear pass 1.61 times as often as the average field (95% CI 1.28-2.04): 20.1% against 12.5%. The backtest could order past fields only by burning nearby and last season's fires: the time since harvest and the rain cannot be reconstructed for past passes. Checked over all 387 pass pairs, the ranking is modest (AUC 0.640, 95% CI 0.595-0.693; 0.5 is chance). A rank says where to look first; it is not the chance that a field will burn.

These lists say where to look, not who burnt: a satellite flag needs a visit on the ground before any action, and the brief names villages only, never people.